Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.008184 0.009236 0.010390 0.011751 0.013316 0.015063 0.017168
2024-10-20 0.006262 0.007619 0.009237 0.011321 0.013949 0.017177 0.021473
2024-10-27 0.005249 0.006704 0.008539 0.011043 0.014405 0.018811 0.025102
2024-11-03 0.004653 0.006183 0.008199 0.011087 0.015171 0.020829 0.029409
2024-11-10 0.004337 0.005967 0.008203 0.011546 0.016504 0.023728 0.035313
2024-11-17 0.003892 0.005511 0.007807 0.011365 0.016857 0.025212 0.039274
2024-11-24 0.003584 0.005211 0.007591 0.011403 0.017513 0.027195 0.044262
2024-12-01 0.003257 0.004846 0.007232 0.011169 0.017692 0.028414 0.048117
2024-12-08 0.003085 0.004697 0.007182 0.011408 0.018650 0.031005 0.054711
2024-12-15 0.002880 0.004475 0.006993 0.011392 0.019161 0.032877 0.060255
2024-12-22 0.002603 0.004113 0.006546 0.010890 0.018763 0.033068 0.062604
2024-12-29 0.002439 0.003924 0.006365 0.010827 0.019138 0.034706 0.068041
2025-01-05 0.002393 0.003931 0.006524 0.011401 0.020786 0.039041 0.079914
2025-01-12 0.002187 0.003649 0.006163 0.010993 0.020526 0.039610 0.083853
2025-01-19 0.002024 0.003430 0.005892 0.010724 0.020499 0.040639 0.088984
2025-01-26 0.001922 0.003311 0.005791 0.010766 0.021103 0.043062 0.097790
2025-02-02 0.001883 0.003303 0.005890 0.011211 0.022591 0.047605 0.112624
2025-02-09 0.001768 0.003144 0.005692 0.011035 0.022729 0.049137 0.120130
2025-02-16 0.001688 0.003045 0.005602 0.011072 0.023336 0.051833 0.131238
2025-02-23 0.001585 0.002894 0.005398 0.010846 0.023318 0.053026 0.138435
2025-03-02 0.001540 0.002853 0.005406 0.011078 0.024385 0.057033 0.154492
2025-03-09 0.001472 0.002761 0.005306 0.011061 0.024861 0.059614 0.166899
2025-03-16 0.001363 0.002579 0.005009 0.010576 0.024142 0.058985 0.169310